By Hannah Bleau - breitbart.com|
A Monmouth University Poll released Monday revealed a massive shift in the Democrat primary race, showing Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), and former Vice President Joe Biden (D) in a statistical three-way tie.
The poll, taken August 16-20 among 800 U.S. adults, shows both Warren and Sanders tying with 20 percent support, followed by Biden - the longheld frontrunner - who dropped to third place with 19 percent support. With a +/- 5.7 percent margin of error, the three are statistically tied. This spells trouble for the Biden campaign and signals, as Monmouth suggests, that the "2020 presidential nomination process may be entering a volatile stage":
The poll finds a virtual three-way tie among Sanders (20%), Warren (20%), and Biden (19%) in the presidential nomination preferences of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters across the country. Compared to Monmouth's June poll, these results represent an increase in support for both Sanders (up from 14%) and Warren (up from 15%), and a significant drop for Biden (down from 32%).
The poll did not show any major shakeups among the remaining candidates. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) maintained her fourth place position with eight percent support, followed by Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D), and Andrew Yang, (D) with four percent, four percent, and three percent, respectively. Julian Castro (D), Beto O'Rourke (D), and Marianne Williamson (D) all garnered two percent. The remaining candidates saw once percent support or less.
The biggest takeaway from Monmouth's poll, of course, is Biden's fall. According to the survey, the former vice president is losing ground among key demographics, including black voters, white voters, and women. Much of his lost support is evenly distributed between Warren and Sanders.
Biden has suffered an across the board decline in his support since June. He lost ground with white Democrats (from 32% to 18%) and voters of color (from 33% to 19%), among voters without a college degree (from 35% to 18%) and college graduates (from 28% to 20%), with both men (from 38% to 24%) and women (from 29% to 16%), and among voters under 50 years old (from 21% to 6%) as well as voters aged 50 and over (from 42% to 33%). Most of Biden's lost support in these groups shifted almost equally toward Sanders and Warren.
"The main takeaway from this poll is that the Democratic race has become volatile. Liberal voters are starting to cast about for a candidate they can identify with. Moderate voters, who have been paying less attention, seem to be expressing doubts about Biden," Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said.
He added that Democrat voters are "swinging more toward one of the left-leaning contenders with high name recognition rather than toward a lesser known candidate who might be more in line with them politically."
Recent polls have signaled Biden losing his grip. His lead slowly continues to shrink, as reflected by the current Real Clear Politics average.
Meanwhile Via zerohedge.com:
While the anti-Trump media has pivoted back to the whole 'Trump is crazy' / 25th Amendment impeachment fantasy revived by GOP challengers Bill Weld and Joe Walsh, former Vice President Joe Biden's stumbling senior moments have gotten so bad that he's now swearing he's sane.
"I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts," Biden insisted on Friday, after he forgot where he was speaking from - praising Vermont when asked about his impression of Keene, NH.
"Biden in NH tonight quipped that he isn't going "nuts" because he didn't know location of his earlier Dartmouth speech"
- Bo Erickson (@BoKnowsNews) August 24, 2019
"Biden talks w/press in Keene, NH: "I love this place. Look, what's not to like about Vermont in terms of the beauty of it? And what a neat town...everybody has been really friendly. I like Keene a lot."
- Bo Erickson (@BoKnowsNews) August 24, 2019
As noted by former GOP House Speaker Newt Gingrich, "what is he doing?"
"When Vice President Joe Biden said ""I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts," it may have been strangest campaign slogan ever. It will be interesting to see how he recovers from planting the notion in voters mind. you could ask if he isn't going nuts what is he doing?
- Newt Gingrich (@newtgingrich) August 26, 2019
Days earlier, the Democratic frontrunner oddly brought up the topic of assassination - asking a Hanover, NH crowd "Imagine what would have happened if, God forbid, Barack Obama had been assassinated after becoming the de facto nominee? What would have happened in America?"
Biden's wife is even imploring voters to just vote for Joe already or face another four years of Trumpian politics.
"Your candidate might be better on, I don't know, healthcare than Joe is," said Biden's better half during a campaign event in Nashua, NH. "But you've got to look at who's going to win this election and maybe you have to swallow a little bit and say, 'Ok, I personally like so and so better.' But your bottom line has to be that we have to beat Donald Trump."
You know it's bad when a candidate's wife is telling you to just "swallow a little bit."